September 13, 2024

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Cyclone ‘Gulab’ to hit North AP-South Odisha late tonight

The Bay of Bengal is now hosting cyclone ‘Gulab’ located at 270 km East-South-East of Gopalpur (Odisha) and 330 East of Kalingapatnam (Andhra Pradesh) this (Sunday) early morning even as the monsoon transitional thirty day period of September is just four days from drawing a close.

 

Gulab will move almost westwards and cross the North Andhra Pradesh-South Odisha coastline in between Kalingapatnam and Gopalpur as a cyclone with greatest sustained wind pace of seventy five-eighty five km/hr gusting to ninety five km/hr about midnight right now (Sunday).

Tidal wave of about .5 m (one.sixty four ft) in height earlier mentioned the astronomical tide may well inundate reduced-lying areas of Srikakulam, Sompeta, Vizianagaram and Ganjam districts for the duration of the time of landfall.

Article-landfall intensity

Fishermen have to not to venture into North-West and adjoining West-Central Bay and along and off the Odisha, West Bengal and North Andhra Pradesh coasts until tomorrow (Monday).

Just after landfall tonight, Gulab may well keep cyclonic storm intensity with only slight weakening of wind speeds for the duration of the subsequent 6 several hours around South Odisha and adjoining North Coastal Andhra Pradesh. It may well press throughout South Odisha and South Chhattisgarh and weaken into a depression.

Gale-power winds with pace achieving 60-70 km/hr and gusting to eighty km/hr may well prevail around Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, Visakhapatnam, Ganjam and Gajapati districts from midnight into early Monday early morning.

High winds warning

Squally winds with pace achieving 50-60 km/hr gusting to 70 km/hr are probably around Khordha, Puri, Raigada and Koraput districts and forty-50 km/hr gusting to 60 km/hr around Navrangpur and Malkangiri districts until early Monday early morning. Squally winds (forty-50 km/hr gusting to 60 km/hr) may well prevail around South interior Odisha, South Chhattisgarh and North Telangana on Monday.

Weighty to incredibly large rain

Sunday: Mild to average rainfall at most places South Odisha and North Coastal Andhra Pradesh with large to incredibly large falls at a couple places and exceptionally large falls at isolated places. Weighty to incredibly large falls are probably around Telangana and large around North Interior Odisha and Chhattisgarh.

Monday: Mild to average rainfall at most places around South Chhattisgarh with large to incredibly large and exceptionally large falls at isolated places. Weighty to incredibly large falls is probably around Odisha, Telangana and Vidarbha and large rainfall at isolated places around Coastal West Bengal and North Chhattisgarh.

Ordinary cyclone tracks

The monsoon transitional months of June and September see storm produce around Central and North Bay that move West-North-West influencing the Andhra Pradesh-Odisha-West Bengal coasts. Article monsoon (Oct-December) storms kind primarily in the South and Central Bay and head in direction of the Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh-Odisha or may well re-curve in direction of West Bengal or Bangladesh.

Cyclones do not kind in Arabian sea for the duration of the months of January, February and March and are exceptional in April, July, August and September.

Not unconventional for September

The cyclone season starts in Oct but it is not unconventional for the Bay of Bengal to warm up ahead of it in direction of September-close and cross the threshold of 27.5 Degrees Celsius to be equipped to host cyclones (29 Degrees Celsius as of this early morning), in accordance to non-public forecaster Skymet Temperature.

A examine printed in Present-day Science has explained that for the duration of a period of time of 122 yr from 1877 to 1998, the North Indian Ocean (the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal put together) has witnessed forty four tropical cyclones of which as quite a few as forty have been hosted by the Bay and only the relaxation by the Arabian Sea.